
This countdown marks the moment when the Reform Party is projected to surpass Labour in membership—an event that symbolises the decline of the Labour Government and the rise of Reform as the dominant political force in the country.
With the Conservative Party fractured, Reform is poised to consolidate support from the remaining right-wing Tories, while others may drift toward Labour, the Greens, or fade into political irrelevance alongside what remains of a once-principled Conservative movement.
The clock is ticking…
First Past the Post
To become an MP, a candidate only needs to get more votes than anyone else in their constituency — not a majority. This makes First Past the Post particularly tough for parties like Reform and the Greens, whose supporters are spread thinly across many areas, but not concentrated enough in one place to win seats.
On the other hand, some parties only run candidates in certain parts of the UK. Even with fewer total votes, their support is often concentrated in specific constituencies, giving them a better chance of winning MPs. In Westminster’s First Past the Post system, where your votes are can matter more than how many you have.
The total number of votes cast across the country if proportionally represented show a much different outcome for the 2024 election.
First Past the Post Result 2024
Position | Party | Total UK Vote | No of Seats won | Votes per Seat |
1st | Labour | 9708816 | 411 | 23622 |
2nd | Conservative | 6828726 | 121 | 56435 |
3rd | Liberal Democrat | 3519214 | 72 | 48877 |
6th | Reform UK | 4117610 | 5 | 823522 |
8th | Green Party | 1943804 | 4 | 485951 |
Proportional Representation Result 2024
Position | Party | Total UK Vote | No of Seats won | Votes per Seat |
1st | Labour | 9708816 | 228 | 42582 |
2nd | Conservative | 6828726 | 139 | 49127 |
3rd | Reform UK | 3519214 | 100 | 35192 |
4th | Liberal Democrat | 4117610 | 73 | 56405 |
5th | Green Party | 1943804 | 71 | 27377 |